SOFI Stock Skyrockets 82% in 6 Months: Buy, Hold or Sell?

Core Insights - SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) shares have increased by 82% over the past six months, contrasting with a 1% decline in the industry [1][7] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, SoFi reported record adjusted EBITDA of $277 million with a 29% margin, and non-lending revenues grew by 57% year over year [3] - The lending segment generated $481 million in revenues, a 23% increase from the previous year, with total loan originations reaching a record $9.9 billion, up 57% year over year [3] - Adjusted net revenue is now projected at $3.54 billion, indicating a 36% year-over-year growth, surpassing the previous estimate of $3.375 billion [8] - Adjusted EBITDA is now guided to $1.035 billion, with adjusted net income expected at $455 million and adjusted EPS of $0.37 [8] - Tangible book value growth is forecasted at $2.5 billion, significantly above the earlier target of $640 million, indicating enhanced capital strength [8] Growth Projections - SoFi anticipates adding approximately 3.5 million members, representing a 34% growth rate compared to the earlier forecast of 30% [5] - Analyst projections indicate a 120% increase in EPS for Q4 2025, with earnings expected to grow 140% in 2025 and 63% in 2026 [13] - Sales projections show expected revenue growth of 32% in Q3 2025, with full-year top-line expansion of 37% in 2025 and 25% in 2026 [13] Competitive Landscape - SoFi faces intense competition from established banking institutions like JPMorgan and Bank of America, which are rapidly enhancing their digital capabilities [16][17] - Competing with these legacy giants will be a significant test of SoFi's long-term resilience as it scales [17] Strategic Advantages - The integration of Galileo Financial Technologies has strengthened SoFi's technology stack, enhancing operational efficiency and innovation speed [10][12] - This integration allows for deeper product development and a more seamless user experience, positioning SoFi as a vertically integrated fintech platform [11][12] Investment Outlook - SoFi's recent performance reflects growing confidence in its expanding ecosystem, improving operational discipline, and strengthening profitability profile [18] - The company is transforming into a fully integrated digital financial platform, supported by rising member engagement and deeper product adoption [18] - With scalable growth drivers in place, SoFi is considered a compelling buy for investors seeking high-growth fintech opportunities [18][19]