Don't Buy Rigetti Computing Stock Until This Happens

Core Viewpoint - Rigetti Computing has transitioned from being a growth stock to facing significant challenges, with declining sales and increasing losses, raising concerns among investors [1][6]. Company Overview - Rigetti is recognized as a pioneer in full-stack quantum computing, having operated quantum computers since 2017 and selling systems with qubit counts between 24 and 84 since 2021 [1]. - The company generated $10.8 million in revenue in 2024, but has only booked $5.2 million year-to-date in 2025 [4]. Sales and Revenue - Rigetti's sales have decreased by 43% over the last 12 months compared to 2022 levels, and the company anticipates minimal revenue growth in the near future [6]. - The company announced sales of two 9-qubit Novera quantum computing systems in October, expected to bring in $5.7 million, but these revenues are not expected to be booked until the first half of 2026 [5][6]. Financial Performance - Rigetti's annual losses have increased fivefold to over $350 million, with analysts projecting no profitability until at least 2030 [6]. - The company's gross margin is reported at -6849.48%, indicating severe financial distress [8]. Investor Sentiment - Despite current challenges, institutional investors such as American Assets Investment Management, Vanguard Group, and BlackRock have begun acquiring stakes in Rigetti, collectively owning nearly 20% of the company's shares [8]. - The potential for Rigetti to return to growth is noted, as the company nearly quadrupled its annual sales between 2020 and 2022, demonstrating its capability when conditions are favorable [9]. Future Outlook - A reversal of the current sales decline and securing additional significant sales could restore investor confidence in Rigetti's growth potential [10].