金晟富：12.14黄金高位下跌之后，下周黄金又该如何布局？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent performance of gold, which has increased by $101.80 or 2.42% this week, closing at $4299.87 per ounce, driven by a weakening dollar and a shift in investor sentiment towards high-yield assets [2][3] - The rise in gold prices is occurring in a context where risk appetite is recovering, rather than during typical risk-off scenarios, indicating a unique market dynamic [2] - Analysts suggest that despite potential short-term volatility due to upcoming economic data releases, the medium-term outlook for gold remains positive, supported by expectations of further interest rate cuts and ongoing central bank purchases of gold [3][4] Group 2 - Next week, significant U.S. macroeconomic data will be released, including the December PMI, October retail sales, and the November non-farm payroll report, which are expected to influence market dynamics [3] - The Federal Reserve's recent guidance indicates a cautious approach to interest rate hikes, with expectations for at least two rate cuts by 2026, which is likely to keep the dollar weak and support gold prices [3] - Technical analysis suggests that gold is currently facing resistance around $4340, with key support at $4260; the market is expected to experience fluctuations based on upcoming economic data [4][6]