GREE(SZ:000651) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-14 09:43Core Viewpoint - Major companies in the air conditioning industry, including Haier, Midea, Xiaomi, and TCL, have committed to adhering to the "Self-Discipline Convention for Aluminum Reinforcement Application Research Working Group" to promote the "aluminum instead of copper" technology and enhance industry competitiveness. However, Gree Electric Appliances has notably not joined this initiative, expressing skepticism about the reliability of aluminum as a substitute for copper [1][3][5]. Group 1: Industry Developments - The air conditioning sector is focusing on the innovation and standardization of "aluminum instead of copper" technology, with new group standards being published for aluminum tube heat exchangers [3]. - Gree Electric Appliances has participated in the revision of national standards related to "aluminum instead of copper" but has not engaged in the self-discipline convention, highlighting its cautious stance on the technology [3][5]. - The ongoing debate over "aluminum instead of copper" has persisted for over a decade, often reignited by fluctuations in copper prices, which can account for 20% of the cost of an air conditioner [6]. Group 2: Technical and Economic Considerations - The cost of aluminum is significantly lower than that of copper, with aluminum costing about one-tenth of copper, which could lead to substantial price reductions for air conditioners if the transition is successful [6]. - Despite the potential cost benefits, copper's superior thermal conductivity, corrosion resistance, and long-term reliability present challenges for manufacturers considering the switch to aluminum [6]. - Experts suggest that the technology for a complete transition to aluminum has existed for two years, but progress has been slow due to public perception and varying technical capabilities among manufacturers [6][7]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The push for "aluminum instead of copper" aligns with national strategies to reduce reliance on imported copper, as over 95% of copper used in China is imported, raising concerns about supply chain stability [7]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has proposed expanding aluminum consumption in various applications, including air conditioning, as part of a broader initiative for high-quality development in the aluminum industry [7]. Group 4: Gree's Position - Gree Electric Appliances maintains a conservative approach towards adopting "aluminum instead of copper," emphasizing the importance of product quality and consumer trust [9]. - The company has stated that it will not pursue aluminum until it can guarantee the quality and reliability of its products, reflecting a commitment to maintaining its brand reputation [9][10]. - With rising international copper prices exceeding $10,000 per ton, Gree's reluctance to adopt aluminum may lead to challenges in maintaining competitive pricing and managing supply chain risks [10].