德国蓝皮书：政治“右转”下德国开启深度转型

Group 1 - Germany is undergoing a deep transformation amid multiple internal and external challenges, with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict posing severe challenges to its political, economic, and social development [1] - The new coalition government formed after the February elections has committed to addressing issues in immigration, economy, and defense, emphasizing the need for Germany to enhance its visibility and influence in EU and international affairs [1] - The economic outlook for Germany is cautiously optimistic, with expectations of a slow recovery due to easing inflation, restored consumer confidence, and effective policy support, despite uncertainties in the global economic environment [1] Group 2 - The year 2025 is critical for determining Germany's energy and climate policy direction, balancing energy supply security, climate protection, and cost affordability [2] - The new government under Merz is expected to maintain the overall goals of accelerating renewable energy expansion and achieving climate neutrality by 2045, although the focus on climate protection may diminish in favor of addressing economic issues [2] - A significant portion of the government's large-scale borrowing, amounting to €100 billion, is earmarked for the climate transition fund, but the specific allocation of these funds remains to be determined [2] Group 3 - Germany is shifting from a research-led approach to prioritizing industrial applications in artificial intelligence (AI) since the introduction of its National AI Strategy in 2018, aiming to strengthen technological sovereignty and ethical regulations [3] - The country is exploring a "third way" in global technology competition, integrating AI with its advantageous industries while emphasizing "trustworthy AI" governance [3] - Germany's AI strategy is expected to enhance economic competitiveness, optimize social governance, and reshape European digital leadership, although it faces structural challenges such as weak computing infrastructure and pressure on small and medium-sized enterprises [3]