申万宏源：首予中集安瑞科“买入”评级 LNG储运订单高增

Core Viewpoint - Shenyin Wanguo has initiated coverage on CIMC Enric (03899) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting its strong financial health and robust order backlog, driven by growth in natural gas demand, decarbonization in shipping, and hydrogen industry policies [1] Group 1: Company Overview - CIMC Enric is a clean energy equipment platform under CIMC Group, focusing on transportation, storage, and processing equipment for natural gas, along with integrated services [2] - The company is expected to achieve a CAGR of 17% in net profit attributable to shareholders from 2020 to 2024, primarily benefiting from the continuous improvement in clean energy equipment performance [2] - The company has maintained a return on equity (ROE) above 10% over the past four years, with a dividend payout ratio exceeding 50% in the last two years [2] Group 2: Energy Equipment - The company has a strong order backlog, with total orders reaching 30.8 billion yuan as of Q3 2025, including 27.3 billion yuan in clean energy equipment [3] - Natural gas is expected to play a crucial role in energy transition, with anticipated price declines driving LNG infrastructure development, benefiting the company's leading position in LNG storage and transportation products [3] - The shipping industry is expected to see a doubling of LNG-powered vessels by 2030, driven by environmental regulations and economic advantages, which will boost orders for LNG bunkering vessels and fuel tanks [3] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from hydrogen energy policies, with its core products spanning the entire hydrogen production, storage, transportation, and utilization chain [3] Group 3: Energy Operations - The company is utilizing coke oven gas to produce blue hydrogen and LNG, with its first project set to be operational in 2024, aiming for a cumulative capacity of approximately 200,000 tons of hydrogen and 1 million tons of LNG by 2027 [4] - The potential for green methanol is significant, driven by decarbonization in shipping and renewable energy consumption, with the company’s 50,000-ton biomass methanol project expected to benefit first [4] Group 4: Other Business Segments - The chemical environment segment, which holds over 50% of the global market share in tank containers, is expected to face short-term pressure due to chemical cycle impacts, prompting the company to expand its after-market services [5] - The liquid food segment, including well-known brands like Ziemann beer equipment, is experiencing a slowdown in consumer demand, leading to a diversification strategy to enhance resilience [5]