美联储鸽派候选人沃什当选概率大增，金价延续强势，黄金股ETF(159562)涨1.06%

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices opened strongly on December 15, with COMEX gold futures trading around $4,355 per ounce, supported by a rise in gold-related ETFs and stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Gold ETFs such as Huaxia (518850) rose by 0.94%, while the Nonferrous Metals ETF (516650) increased by 0.34%, and the Gold Stock ETF (159562) gained 1.06% [1] - The holdings of gold-related stocks saw significant increases, with Gold International rising over 5%, and other stocks like Zhaojin Gold, Chifeng Gold, and Western Gold also performing well [1] - Over the past five days, the gold ETF products experienced a net subscription of 102 million yuan [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - According to Polymarket, the probability of former Federal Reserve Governor Waller becoming the next Fed Chair surged to 39%, while Hassett's probability stands at 52% [1] - Trump indicated that Waller's views on monetary policy align closely with his own, emphasizing the need to lower interest rates [1] Group 3: Macro Factors - Jinrui Futures noted that a potential rate cut by the Fed in December would lower the opportunity cost of holding gold [1] - The Fed's announcement to purchase approximately $40 billion in short-term Treasury bills to ease market liquidity pressures also supports gold prices [1] - Increased demand for safe-haven assets and ongoing central bank gold purchases further strengthen the trend of "high volatility and upward price movement" in the gold market [1]