申万宏源:首予恒隆地产“买入”评级 目标价11.7港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-15 02:58

Core Viewpoint - Henglong Real Estate focuses on core business districts to create high-end commercial benchmarks, with positive rental growth in core malls and a strong financial position, expecting to restore cash dividends in the future [1][2] Business Overview - The company's primary business is investment property leasing, supplemented by property sales and hotels, with operations in mainland China and Hong Kong. The company aims to become a luxury benchmark in key urban areas, with its two major Henglong Plazas in Shanghai recognized as landmark buildings [2] - Projected revenue for 2024 is HKD 11.2 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 9%, with a CAGR growth rate of 5% from 2011 to 2024 [2] IP and Hotel Performance - Mainland IP: The company is actively adjusting its retail strategy, with rental income from mainland IP expected to be HKD 6.5 billion in 2024, down 5% year-on-year, but with a CAGR growth rate of 7% since 2011. By the first half of 2025, 7 out of 10 malls have shown positive rental growth [3] - Hong Kong IP: Rental income is projected at HKD 3.05 billion in 2024, down 9% year-on-year, but the decline is narrowing as market conditions improve [3] - Hotel Operations: The company operates two hotels in Shenyang and Kunming, with revenue of HKD 129 million in the first half of 2025, an increase of 84% year-on-year, supported by a recovery in luxury brand consumption [3] Financial Health and Dividends - The company has a stable financial position with interest-bearing debt of HKD 54.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3%, and a net debt ratio of 33.5%. The financing cost in the first half of 2025 is at a record low of 3.9% [4] - The dividend payout ratio remains at 80%, with annual dividends from 2012 to 2023 maintained at HKD 3.3-3.5 billion, although it decreased to HKD 2.5 billion in 2024 due to performance decline [4]

SWHY-申万宏源:首予恒隆地产“买入”评级 目标价11.7港元 - Reportify