高基数扰动11月经济数据，新兴产业、服务零售增长较快

Core Viewpoint - The overall economic operation in November remained stable, but faced challenges due to external uncertainties and insufficient domestic demand, prompting the need for more proactive macro policies to boost domestic demand and stabilize the economy [1][11]. Economic Data Summary - In November, the industrial added value increased by 4.8% year-on-year, a slight decline of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. For the first eleven months, the growth was 6.0%, maintaining stability [2]. - The service industry production index grew by 4.2% year-on-year in November, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, with a cumulative growth of 5.6% for the first eleven months [2][3]. - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 1.3% year-on-year in November, a decline of 1.6 percentage points from the previous month, with a cumulative growth of 4.0% for the first eleven months [5]. - The total import and export value increased by 4.1% year-on-year in November, with exports growing by 5.7% and imports by 1.7%. For the first eleven months, the total value grew by 3.6% [6]. Sector Performance - The manufacturing sector showed stability, with significant growth in specific industries such as biobased materials (29% increase), electronic materials (22.9%), and integrated circuits (24.6%) [2]. - The service sector demonstrated resilience, particularly in modern services, with notable growth in information technology services (12.9%) and leasing services (8.4%) [3]. - Retail sales in cultural and office supplies and communication equipment saw substantial growth, with increases of 11.7% and 20.6% respectively in November [5]. Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 2.6% year-on-year, with infrastructure investment down by 1.1% and real estate investment down by 15.9%. However, manufacturing investment grew by 1.9% [6][7]. - Equipment and tool purchases increased by 12.2%, indicating ongoing investment in modernization [7]. Policy Implications - The government plans to implement more proactive macroeconomic policies to enhance domestic demand and stabilize the economy, focusing on employment, enterprises, and market expectations [1][11]. - The positive signals in pricing and improvements in corporate profitability suggest a gradual recovery, with industrial profits increasing by 1.9% year-on-year for the first ten months [8][9].