8个交易日涨幅近60%,乐摩科技盘面下的“短线机会”?

Core Viewpoint - The stock of LeMo Technology (02539) has experienced significant volatility, with a surge in price following its IPO, revealing the dynamics of major capital movements and the underlying reasons for the reluctance to sell shares [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - LeMo Technology is a leading provider of shared massage equipment, achieving an oversubscription of 5912.8 times during its IPO, indicating strong investor interest [2]. - The company has maintained a dominant position in the massage chair market, ranking first in China by transaction value from 2022 to 2024, with a projected market share exceeding 50% in 2024 [10][11]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The company's revenue growth is showing signs of slowing down, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 55.5% from 2022 to 2024, but a decrease to 35.9% in 2024 and further down to 13.72% in the first eight months of 2025 [10]. - Profitability metrics indicate a net profit margin of 2.58%, 16.12%, 12.78%, and 15.75% over the same period, influenced by a fluctuating gross margin [10]. Group 3: Business Model and Strategy - LeMo Technology operates under a dual business model of "direct sales + city partners," focusing on high-traffic areas such as shopping malls and transportation hubs, with over 48,000 service points established [11]. - The company has faced challenges with profitability due to rapid expansion, leading to underutilization of massage chairs, as evidenced by a 90% increase in equipment quantity but a 31% decrease in daily transaction volume per chair [11]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The Chinese massage service market is relatively small, projected to grow from 2.707 billion yuan in 2024 to 5.606 billion yuan by 2029, with a CAGR of 15.9% [12]. - LeMo Technology's core market is commercial complexes, but the growth potential appears limited given the overall market size and competition [12]. Group 5: Stock Performance and Investor Sentiment - The stock price of LeMo Technology has increased by over 58% from its IPO price, despite experiencing a 25.2% pullback after initial gains, indicating strong holding sentiment among investors [1][3]. - Major institutional investors, such as Futu Securities, have shown a tendency to hold their positions, suggesting confidence in the stock's future performance [5].