贺博生：12.15黄金原油最新行情价格涨跌趋势分析及今日多空操作建议

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The current price of spot gold is around $4319.17 per ounce, showing a slight upward trend despite the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on further rate cuts [2] - Investors anticipate two rate cuts next year, providing strong support for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset amid increasing global uncertainty [2] - Last week, spot gold rose by 0.48%, closing near $4300 per ounce, with an intraday high of $4353 per ounce, marking the highest level since October 21 [2] - The market's bullish sentiment is bolstered by the Fed's recent rate cut of 25 basis points, which has heightened expectations for a loose monetary policy [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold is expected to maintain a range-bound consolidation at the beginning of the week, with significant data releases scheduled, including U.S. non-farm payrolls and CPI data [3] - Previous price action showed gold facing resistance at the $4380 level, forming a "double top" bearish pattern before stabilizing around $3900 [3] - The current market structure suggests a "bullish flag" formation, indicating a strong foundation for future price increases [3] - Daily charts indicate a clear bullish trend, with gold prices successfully breaking above the previous consolidation range and maintaining above the $4200 level [5] - Short-term indicators show continued bullish momentum, with MACD and RSI supporting upward movement, suggesting further upside potential [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The price of U.S. crude oil is trading around $57.53 per barrel, with a weekly decline exceeding 4% due to concerns over global supply surplus and geopolitical tensions [6] - Both Brent and U.S. crude oil prices closed lower last week, with Brent settling at $61.12 per barrel and U.S. crude at $57.44 per barrel, reflecting ongoing bearish sentiment [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The daily chart indicates a minor consolidation phase for oil prices, testing the previous low around $56 [7] - The MACD indicator shows a lack of strong bearish momentum, but if the $56 support is broken, a downward trend may ensue [7] - Short-term price action is expected to remain within a narrow range of $56.80 to $58.10, with resistance at the upper boundary [7]