Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-15 09:01Core Viewpoint - GEV and Siemens have reported significant growth in new gas turbine orders, indicating a strong demand in the gas turbine market, driven by the increasing electricity needs from AI data centers [2][3]. Group 1: Order Growth - GEV signed 114 new gas turbine orders in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 46%, with heavy-duty gas turbine orders reaching 69 units, up 57% [2][3]. - Siemens' gas service business secured new orders worth €18.2 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, reflecting a 42% year-on-year growth, with Q3 orders for gas turbines soaring by 231% to 86 units [2]. Group 2: Capacity Expansion and Financial Guidance - GEV has advanced its annual gas turbine production capacity target from Q3 2026 to H1 2026 and plans to increase its production capacity to 24 GW by 2028, supported by a projected capital expenditure of $10 billion from 2025 to 2028 [3]. - GEV has raised its revenue guidance for 2028 from $45 billion to $52 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin increase from 14% to 20% [3]. Group 3: Market Opportunities - The construction of AI data centers is driving a surge in electricity demand, with gas turbines being positioned as the optimal power supply solution due to their quick construction cycles and stable power output [4]. - There is significant potential for domestic equipment manufacturers to replace foreign brands in the gas turbine market, with several companies identified as key players benefiting from this trend [4][5]. Group 4: Recommended Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Jerry Holdings (002353.SZ) for its strong order book and partnerships with major players [5]. - Yingliu Technology (603308.SH) focusing on high-tech turbine blades for domestic replacement [5]. - Haomai Technology (002595.SZ) as a main supplier of gas turbine components [5]. - Liande Co., Ltd. (605060.SH) as a supplier for Caterpillar gas turbines [5].