刘世锦：实现强大的货币，需大幅增加离岸人民币数量

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that China's economic growth is transitioning from high-speed to medium-speed, driven by a shift from supply-side constraints to demand-side issues, with a focus on innovation and consumption rather than investment and exports [1] - The next steps involve promoting the construction of a manufacturing powerhouse, a consumption powerhouse, and a financial powerhouse [3] - For the manufacturing powerhouse, the emphasis is on the transformation and upgrading of the manufacturing sector, particularly towards productive service industries [4] Group 2 - In terms of becoming a consumption powerhouse, there is a need to address the structural deviation of China's consumption as a percentage of GDP compared to the international average, aiming to become the largest consumer market globally [6] - The financial sector is seen as a bridge, requiring a modern financial system to support the manufacturing and consumption powerhouses, with a focus on selecting projects that have market potential and manageable risks [7] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, if China's GDP maintains a growth rate of 4% to 5%, it is expected to generate a net asset increase of no less than 30 trillion yuan annually, with new funds likely flowing into capital markets due to declining risk-free rates [7] Group 3 - A strong currency is essential for a financial powerhouse, with historical evidence suggesting that as a country's real economy grows in global share, its currency's global usage also increases [7] - To enhance the international use of the renminbi, increasing the offshore renminbi supply is crucial, which can be achieved by boosting imports and settling payments in renminbi [8] - Developing offshore renminbi financial products and improving liquidity and convenience will significantly accelerate the internationalization of the renminbi [8]