国际劳工组织首席宏观经济学家：当前外界“明显高估”AI对就业影响丨直通全球国际组织

Group 1 - The global labor market is experiencing a slowdown in both economic and employment growth, with labor shortages that were prevalent in many regions now having disappeared [2][3] - The technology sector is currently the most significant industry creating new jobs, with high valuations in the stock market linked to expectations of future profit and revenue generation [3] - The impact of AI on employment is perceived to be overestimated, with earlier predictions of 40%-50% of jobs being affected not materializing [4][6] Group 2 - AI is primarily reshaping job roles rather than replacing them, allowing existing employees to become more productive and focus on new customer segments [6][7] - The adoption of AI is increasing rapidly, yet global labor productivity remains low, indicating that the effects of new technology on employment may take longer to manifest [8] - The social security system should prioritize protecting individuals rather than jobs, ensuring that people can adapt to changes and seize new opportunities [9] Group 3 - Despite uncertainties, the global economy shows resilience, with expectations for continued growth momentum into the next year, potentially leading to accelerated growth by 2027 or earlier [10]