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Core Viewpoint - The sales of instant lottery tickets have significantly declined due to multiple factors, including economic pressures, changes in consumer behavior, and a lack of product appeal, leading to a market stagnation [3][5][6] Sales Performance - Instant lottery ticket sales have dropped from a previously high demand to a state of oversupply, with one store reporting sales of less than 200 yuan on a busy day, compared to thousands previously [2][4] - The store has approximately 50,000 yuan worth of unsold instant lottery tickets, equivalent to five months' salary, indicating a severe inventory issue [4] Market Dynamics - The decline in sales is attributed to a combination of reduced consumer spending, disrupted purchasing habits due to previous supply shortages, and insufficient product attractiveness [3][5] - The average spending per customer has decreased significantly, with reports indicating a drop from 120-150 yuan to 50-70 yuan, a decline of over 50% [5] Supply Chain Issues - A previous supply shortage in 2024 led to a disruption in consumer habits, with many customers not returning to purchase tickets [5][6] - The supply mechanism is imbalanced, with some stores receiving significantly less inventory than needed, leading to a "断层式供应" (discontinuous supply) situation [6] Consumer Behavior - The traditional appeal of instant lottery tickets is waning, with younger consumers showing less interest in conventional lottery formats, and a lack of innovation in product themes [6] - The perceived decrease in winning rates has also contributed to declining sales, with fewer significant prizes being reported [6] Statistical Discrepancies - Despite a reported increase in overall lottery sales, the actual experience of lottery retailers indicates a disconnect between official statistics and market realities [7][9] - The sales data may be inflated due to administrative pressures on retailers to meet sales targets, leading to unsold inventory being counted as sales [9][10] - The growth in sales figures is often based on low comparison bases from previous years, masking the true decline in consumer engagement [9][10]