Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan Securities initiates coverage of Jitu Express-W (01519) with a target price of HKD 12.60 and an "Accumulate" rating, highlighting the company's rapid expansion from Southeast Asia to a global logistics operator through a highly flexible regional agency system [1] Group 1: Expansion Strategy - The company has rapidly risen to become a leader in the Southeast Asian market since its establishment in Indonesia in 2015, utilizing a unique regional agency model [1] - Jitu Express entered the Chinese express market in 2020 through acquisitions of Longbang Express, Best Group's China operations, and SF Express's Fengwang, significantly enhancing its network capabilities and market share [1] - The company has expanded into new markets in the Middle East and Latin America, forming a global network covering 13 countries [1] Group 2: Southeast Asia Market Dynamics - The macroeconomic upturn and the booming e-commerce market have accelerated the growth of express delivery volumes in Southeast Asia, with the distribution mechanism of designated logistics service providers leading to an oligopolistic competition structure [2] - The impact of e-commerce self-built logistics on the company's performance is nearing its end, with the rise of TikTok significantly boosting the company's business volume, maintaining its industry-leading market share [2] Group 3: China Market Performance - The company has quickly improved its market share in China, currently ranking fifth in the industry, through mergers and the benefits of social e-commerce [3] - With market share stabilizing, the company is actively optimizing its customer and product structure, leading to noticeable improvements in profitability [3] - Revenue growth has returned to around 10%, with market share and gross profit remaining stable and improving [3] Group 4: New Market Growth - The company is actively expanding partnerships with leading e-commerce platforms, solidifying its market share in new markets [4] - As the network capacity in new markets strengthens and economies of scale become apparent, the company is experiencing a continuous release of cost pressures, which is expected to create a second growth curve in profits [4]
国泰海通证券:首予极兔速递-W“增持”评级 全球物流黑马