人民币兑美元中间价报7.0602上调54点，创2024年10月9日以来新高，离岸人民币升破7.04！短期内人民币汇率仍将处于偏强运行状态

Group 1 - The central point of the article highlights the recent strengthening of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar, with the midpoint rate reported at 7.0602, marking an increase of 54 points and reaching the highest level since October 9, 2024 [2] - The offshore yuan has also surpassed the 7.04 mark, indicating a positive trend in the currency's performance [2] Group 2 - In the short term, the yuan is expected to maintain a strong performance against the dollar, driven by a generally weak dollar environment and robust domestic equity market performance attracting foreign investment [5] - The outlook suggests that the yuan may continue to appreciate moderately until 2026 [5] Group 3 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in January next year is 75.6%, while the likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut is 24.4% [6] - By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 43.5%, with a 47.5% chance of rates remaining unchanged, and a 9.1% chance of a cumulative 50 basis point cut [6]