澳新银行：受全球增长前景恶化、贸易紧张局势再起、美联储独立性受损以及股市抛售潮等因素影响，金价或于2026年突破5000美元/盎

Core Viewpoint - The price of gold is projected to potentially exceed $5000 per ounce by 2026 due to deteriorating global growth prospects, renewed trade tensions, compromised independence of the Federal Reserve, and a sell-off in the stock market [1] Group 1 - Factors contributing to the potential rise in gold prices include worsening global growth outlook and trade tensions [1] - The independence of the Federal Reserve is perceived to be at risk, which may influence gold prices [1] - A significant sell-off in the stock market is also identified as a factor that could drive gold prices higher [1] Group 2 - Conversely, if the U.S. economic growth outlook improves, the dollar unexpectedly strengthens, and the Federal Reserve adopts a hawkish stance, spot gold prices could fall to $3500 per ounce by 2026 [1] - The potential decline in gold prices is contingent on positive economic indicators from the U.S. [1]