林毅夫：世界秩序变了，不再由八国联军和八大工业国组织主导

Group 1 - The core argument of the article is that the global economic power dynamics have shifted from the G8 countries to a more multipolar world, with emerging economies like China and India playing significant roles [1][6][10] - The G8's share of the global economy decreased from 47% in 2000 to 34.7% in 2018, indicating a decline in their influence over global governance [1][6] - China's economic growth has been a major driver of this shift, with its share of the global economy rising from 6.9% in 2000 to 16.8% in 2018, contributing significantly to the G8's decline [8][10] Group 2 - The article discusses the historical context of the G8 and its predecessor, the Eight-Nation Alliance, highlighting their dominance in global affairs over the past century [3][4][5] - It emphasizes that the transition from G8 to G20 reflects a fundamental change in global governance, where emerging economies are now included in decision-making processes [6][10] - The article notes that the U.S. has historically been the dominant economic power, but China's rise has altered this landscape, leading to a need for new forms of international cooperation [8][11] Group 3 - The article outlines the implications of China's economic growth for global trade, stating that China is now the world's largest trading nation and a key partner for over 140 countries [13] - It highlights the potential for China to achieve a per capita GDP equal to half of the U.S. by 2049, which could stabilize global relations and enhance China's position as a major economic power [14][21] - The discussion includes the challenges and opportunities presented by the Fourth Industrial Revolution, where China is positioned to leverage its large market and talent pool [19][20]