TFC(SZ:300394) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-16 02:48Core Viewpoint - The Chinese optical module industry is expected to maintain a competitive advantage, particularly in the North American market, with new suppliers likely to gain opportunities due to increasing demand for high-speed optical modules driven by AI computing investments [8][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 16, the optical module CPO and related hardware experienced a continuous decline, with Tianfu Communication dropping over 4% for five consecutive days, and Xinyisheng and Zhongji Xuchuang falling over 3% and 1% respectively [1][6]. - The popular ETF, the ChiNext AI ETF (159363), which has over 56% optical module content, saw a further decline of 2%, falling below the 10-day moving average, with real-time trading volume exceeding 200 million yuan [1][6]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - Huatai Securities forecasts that the demand for high-speed optical modules (400G, 800G, 1.6T) will significantly expand by 2026, providing a window of opportunity for new suppliers to enter the North American cloud service provider supply chain [3][8]. - The domestic optical module manufacturers have gradually integrated into the supply chains of leading global cloud companies over the past decade, leveraging cost advantages, R&D capabilities, and rapid response to customer needs [8]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - It is recommended to focus on new suppliers with advantages in delivery capability, technical strength, and overseas production capacity, such as Lian Te Technology, which may gain access to North American cloud service provider supply chains [3][8]. - The ChiNext AI ETF (159363) is highlighted as a key investment vehicle, with over 70% of its portfolio allocated to computing power and over 20% to AI applications, effectively capturing the AI theme market [3][8].