人民币汇率持续大涨,下一步怎么走?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-16 02:53

Core Viewpoint - The offshore RMB has been appreciating significantly, currently at 7.04, approaching the previous high of 6.97 from September last year, influenced by a declining US dollar index from 100 to around 98, primarily due to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][3] Group 1 - The RMB's appreciation is linked to the weakening of the US dollar, which is expected to continue as the market anticipates accelerated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] - The central bank aims to maintain the RMB within a reasonable fluctuation range, avoiding significant appreciation or depreciation to support a stable environment for foreign trade enterprises [3] - Recent adjustments in the RMB's central parity rate indicate a controlled approach, with the rate set at 7.0656 per USD on December 15, reflecting a downward adjustment of 18 basis points over ten consecutive trading days [3] Group 2 - Short-term outlook for the RMB remains bullish, but medium-term upward potential appears limited due to the central bank's policy stance [3]