国务院发展研究中心原党组书记马建堂：到2035年中国人均GDP达到2.3万美元完全有可能

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential growth of China's GDP per capita, projecting that it could reach $23,000 by 2035, contingent on an average annual growth rate of 5% over the next 11 years, given the current economic conditions and population trends [1] Economic Projections - In 2022, the average GDP per capita of fifteen middle-income countries was reported to be $23,000 [1] - To reach a GDP per capita of $20,000 by 2035, China would need to achieve an average annual growth rate of 3.7% over the next 11 years [1] - If the target is raised to $23,000, the required average annual growth rate increases to 5% [1] Population Impact - The decline in China's total population is expected to result in a higher growth rate for GDP per capita than the 5% target [1] - The analysis assumes no significant inflation or exchange rate fluctuations over the next 11 years [1]