人民币持续升值，港股为何创下本轮调整新低？

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the recent decline in the Hong Kong stock market despite the appreciation of the Renminbi against the US dollar, with the Hang Seng Index dropping significantly [2] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.91% on December 16, closing at 25,139 points, marking a cumulative decline of over 2,000 points in the fourth quarter [2] - Analysts attribute the market adjustment to several factors, including high previous gains in 2025, southbound fund reallocation, rising US Treasury yields following the Fed's hawkish stance, and geopolitical uncertainties [2][3] Group 2 - The offshore US dollar to Renminbi exchange rate broke 7.04, with the latest rate at 7.038 [2] - Analysts from Everbright Securities noted that the recent adjustments in the Hong Kong market are primarily due to significant year-to-date gains and insufficient capital inflow as the year-end approaches [2] - Concerns over geopolitical factors and differing views on the global economic outlook are also impacting market sentiment [2][3] Group 3 - The expectation of a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan on December 19 could reverse long-standing arbitrage trading logic, leading to capital withdrawal from emerging markets like Hong Kong [3] - Liquidity issues are highlighted, with a slowdown in southbound fund inflows possibly linked to new regulatory guidelines affecting fund performance assessments [3] - Structural differences between the Hong Kong and A-share markets amplify the sensitivity of Hong Kong stocks to fundamental changes, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence [3][4]