Core Insights - The Chinese power battery industry experienced strong production and sales in November, with a positive trend in pricing across the supply chain driven by policy guidance and a "de-involution" trend [1][3] Group 1: Industry Performance - In November, the installed capacity of power batteries in mainland China reached 93.5 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.2% and a month-on-month increase of 11.2% [2] - The export of batteries remained robust, with a total export of 32.2 GWh in November, marking a year-on-year increase of 46.5% and a month-on-month increase of 14.1% [2] - Lithium iron phosphate batteries accounted for 80.5% of the total installed capacity, with a total of 75.3 GWh, showing a year-on-year increase of 40.7% [2] Group 2: Pricing Trends - The National Development and Reform Commission held a meeting to curb irrational price competition, aiming to return to rational pricing and ensure reasonable profit levels [3] - Prices across the supply chain have generally risen, with lithium hexafluorophosphate reaching 180,000 yuan per ton and battery-grade lithium carbonate exceeding 95,500 yuan per ton [3] - A notice from Suzhou Dejia Energy Technology indicated a 15% price increase for all battery products starting December 16 due to rising raw material costs [3] Group 3: Production Plans - The planned battery production for December in mainland China is 148.8 GWh, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 2.3% [4] - The production of separator materials increased by 2.6%, while the production of electrolyte saw a 1.4% increase, indicating strong downstream demand [4] - The lithium battery sector has experienced a correction, with the Wande Lithium Battery Index down approximately 12% from its peak, providing a potential investment opportunity [4] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The industry remains fundamentally strong, and the recent adjustments in the lithium battery sector may offer a window for investment [4] - Companies with cost and technological advantages, particularly CATL (宁德时代), are recommended for attention due to their leading position in the market [4]
交银国际:锂电行业“反内卷”趋势延续 建议关注宁德时代(03750)