美股异动丨小马智行盘前涨2.4% 券商预计2026年L4迎元年时刻
Ge Long Hui·2025-12-16 09:28

Core Insights - Pony.ai (PONY.US) stock rose 2.4% in pre-market trading, driven by significant milestones expected in 2025, including a Hong Kong IPO, the launch of the 7th generation Robotaxi, and achieving profitability on a per-vehicle basis in Guangzhou [1] Group 1: Company Developments - Pony.ai anticipates reaching a scale of approximately 100,000 vehicles by around 2030 [1] - The company has successfully completed its Hong Kong listing and is set to launch its 7th generation Robotaxi [1] - In Guangzhou, Pony.ai has achieved city-level profitability on a per-vehicle basis [1] Group 2: Market Trends - According to Guosen Securities, the penetration rate of L2/L2+ autonomous vehicles is increasing, leading to a decrease in the cost of related smart driving components [1] - The commonality between L4 and L2/L2+ components is expected to further reduce the costs of L4 autonomous driving hardware, with Robo-X projected to reach a significant milestone in 2026 [1] Group 3: Market Potential - By 2030, the global L4 market is projected to exceed trillions, with the domestic taxi and ride-hailing market size estimated at 236 billion yuan annually [1] - In 2025, Robotaxi is expected to account for 0.6% of the shared mobility market [1] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The report suggests monitoring players entering the market for Robotaxi, Robovan, Robotruck, Robobus, and Robosweeper [1]