Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite the current supply pressure in the pig market, there is a potential for optimism as the peak selling season approaches before the Spring Festival, which is less than 60 days away [2] - Historically, there are two opportunities for pig prices to rise before the Spring Festival: one around New Year's Day and another closer to the festival itself, with the latter being more reliable due to increased consumer demand [4] - The Spring Festival is a significant traditional holiday in China, leading to a concentrated increase in pork consumption as families tend to buy more meat during this time, even if they do not consume much regularly [6] Group 2 - Pork consumption typically spikes in the two weeks leading up to the Spring Festival, as families prepare for gatherings and businesses begin to stock up due to holiday closures and increased travel [7] - The price difference between standard pigs and large pigs (known as the "standard pig price difference") is an indicator of market demand; a larger price difference suggests stronger demand [9] - Recent data shows that pig prices have increased from 11.4 yuan/kg to around 11.6 yuan/kg, but the upward momentum has weakened, indicating that 6 yuan/kg remains a significant resistance level for pig prices [9]
春节卖猪倒计时!年前猪价只剩最后一搏!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-16 09:35