Finbold·2025-12-16 12:00Industry Overview - Quantum computing is entering a significant phase as the industry shifts focus towards scalability, real-world applications, and national strategic priorities by 2026 [1] - Governments are increasing funding for quantum technology, recognizing its importance for national security and AI sovereignty, while enterprises are testing quantum tools for complex optimization problems [2] Company Insights IonQ (NYSE: IONQ) - IonQ is positioned with a strong growth profile, advancing high-fidelity trapped-ion systems beyond 64 qubits through its acquisition of Oxford Ionics [3] - The company's revenue is increasingly derived from direct enterprise and government contracts, with Q3 2025 revenue reported at $39.9 million, a 222% increase year-over-year, despite a $1.1 billion net loss due to aggressive investments [4] - IonQ raised its 2025 revenue forecast to $106 million–$110 million, maintaining an adjusted EBITDA loss midpoint of about $211 million, with shares trading at $46, up over 6% year-to-date [4] D-Wave Quantum (NYSE: QBTS) - D-Wave focuses on application-driven strategies, enhancing the complexity of optimization problems with its Advantage2 system, which supports existing customers using quantum tools [6] - The company's deeper integration into enterprise workflows is leading to recurring usage and higher switching costs, with international expansion reducing reliance on U.S. government demand [7] - QBTS shares are up nearly 150% year-to-date, closing at $23.74 [7] Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) - Rigetti represents an asymmetric investment opportunity, with progress towards higher-fidelity modular superconducting systems potentially rebuilding investor confidence [10] - Recent government contracts, including a $5.8 million deal with the Air Force Research Lab for quantum networking, indicate growing confidence in Rigetti's technologies [10] - RGTI shares are up 17% in 2025, trading at $23, with expectations for positive developments that could lead to a sharp re-rating [11]