「史上最长」黑五和跨境电商这一年：野蛮生长的日子过去了

Core Insights - The Black Friday shopping event has evolved significantly, with online sales reaching $11.8 billion in the U.S., a 9.1% increase from 2024, marking a historical high [2] - The promotional period has extended beyond the traditional 24 hours, now spanning several weeks, leading to consumer fatigue and a dilution of the event's significance [2][3] - Intense competition among e-commerce platforms, particularly from Chinese sellers, is reshaping consumer behavior and decision-making [2] Group 1: Promotional Strategies - Major platforms like Temu and TikTok Shop began their Black Friday promotions as early as October, extending the sales period to over a month [3][4] - Amazon announced its longest Black Friday event, lasting 12 days, to counteract the competition from Chinese platforms [4] - The extended promotional periods have resulted in record sales for platforms, with TikTok Shop achieving over $500 million in GMV within four days [4] Group 2: Seller Experiences - Many sellers reported disappointing sales during Black Friday, with some describing it as the "worst peak season ever" despite the overall increase in consumer spending [5][6] - Sellers are facing declining profit margins, as increased promotional activities lead to higher discount rates, with some discounts reaching between 40% to 99% [6][8] - The rising costs of advertising and compliance are squeezing smaller sellers, making it difficult for them to compete effectively [10][12] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The cross-border e-commerce industry is undergoing a significant reshuffle due to changes in tariffs, compliance requirements, and platform policies, leading to a more challenging environment for small and medium-sized sellers [10][21] - The disparity between large and small sellers is becoming more pronounced, with larger sellers benefiting from economies of scale while smaller sellers struggle to keep up [8][9] - The overall trend indicates a shift from rapid growth to a more mature market, where compliance and brand quality are becoming increasingly important [22][24]