美财长贝森特预计明年通胀将大幅降温，驳斥哈塞特缺乏自主权的传言

Group 1 - The U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent predicts a significant decline in inflation by the first half of 2026 [1] - Bessent mentioned that President Trump is expected to announce a candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair in early January, with one or two interviews possibly taking place this week [1] - Bessent highlighted that former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and NEC Director Kevin Hassett are both "very, very qualified" candidates for the Fed Chair position [1] Group 2 - Bessent emphasized the need for an open-minded Fed Chair who can challenge the notion that economic growth leads to inflation, stating that inflation occurs when demand exceeds supply [1] - Concerns were raised about Hassett's close relationship with Trump potentially undermining the Fed's independence, but Bessent refuted this claim, asserting that individuals have the autonomy to make decisions [1] - Bessent expressed worries about the Fed's status, describing it as "a non-elected institution that has lost trust" [1] Group 3 - In economic forecasts, Bessent predicts a GDP growth rate of 3.5% for 2025 and suggests that 2026 could be a prosperous year if the government remains operational [2] - He attributes current economic pressures to "Biden inflation" but anticipates relief for Americans by early 2026, with tax refunds expected to reach $100 billion to $150 billion in the first quarter of the following year [2] - Bessent links the decline in rental inflation to border security measures, stating that rental costs have decreased due to the closure of the U.S. border [3] Group 4 - Bessent mentioned that the Supreme Court is expected to rule on tariff issues in early January, confirming that there are multiple revenue sources beyond IEEPA tariffs [3] - He committed to reducing the budget deficit by "hundreds of billions" this year [3]