Why Exxon Mobil (XOM) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Core Viewpoint - Exxon Mobil's stock performance has shown a decline recently, with a notable drop compared to the broader market indices, indicating potential investor concerns ahead of its earnings report [1][2]. Company Performance - Exxon Mobil's stock closed at $114.68, reflecting a -2.62% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.24% [1]. - Over the past month, Exxon Mobil's shares gained 0.07%, outperforming the Oils-Energy sector, which saw a loss of 1.72%, but underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 1.31% [2]. Earnings Projections - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show earnings of $1.63 per share, representing a year-over-year decline of 2.4%, while revenue is projected at $85.13 billion, up 2.05% from the previous year [3]. - Full-year estimates predict earnings of $6.9 per share and revenue of $333.31 billion, indicating year-over-year changes of -11.42% and -4.66%, respectively [4]. Analyst Forecasts - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Exxon Mobil are crucial, as they reflect short-term business trends and can influence stock performance [5]. - The Zacks Rank system, which considers estimate changes, currently ranks Exxon Mobil at 3 (Hold), with a recent 0.59% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6][7]. Valuation Metrics - Exxon Mobil is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 17.06, which is higher than the industry average of 10.94, suggesting a premium valuation [8]. - The company has a PEG ratio of 7.42, significantly above the industry average of 1.86, indicating a disparity between its price and anticipated earnings growth [9]. Industry Context - The Oil and Gas - Integrated - International industry, to which Exxon Mobil belongs, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 161, placing it in the bottom 35% of over 250 industries, which may affect overall investor sentiment [10].