鲍韶山：美国想要“权力下放”，这是一场高风险的赌局

Group 1 - The 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS) report emphasizes a need for the U.S. to adjust its global strategy, moving away from the illusion of maintaining permanent dominance and towards a modular system that shares risks and costs with allies and partners [1][5][39] - The report reflects a significant ideological battle over the concept of multipolarity, with differing views on its implications for U.S. dominance and global order [4][5] - The NSS aims to maintain U.S. leadership through a structured alliance system while recognizing the need for allies to take on more responsibilities, including increased defense spending and military deployments [13][14][25] Group 2 - The NSS acknowledges the structural weaknesses in U.S. industrial capacity, particularly in ammunition production and supply chain vulnerabilities, which could undermine military readiness [19][20][23] - The report highlights the reliance on foreign suppliers for critical materials, such as rare earth elements, which poses a risk to U.S. defense capabilities [20][26] - The NSS indicates a shift towards a state of "permanent near-war," where competition occurs continuously across multiple domains, rather than only during crises [17][39] Group 3 - The NSS report's success hinges on the ability to mobilize industrial capacity rapidly, enhance supply chain resilience, and foster deeper cooperation among allies [41][42] - The report suggests that U.S. allies may begin to question the reliability of American commitments, leading to a potential shift in their defense strategies and partnerships [25][29][37] - The NSS reflects a high-risk strategy that relies on the willingness of other nations to bear costs and responsibilities, which may not be sustainable if trust in U.S. capabilities erodes [43][44]