金荣中国：白银再创市场新高震荡，等待回落支撑位多单布局

Fundamental Analysis - Silver prices have surged to over $65 per ounce, marking a historic high and becoming one of the strongest rebounds in commodities for 2025, driven by ongoing market dynamics [1] - The global silver market has experienced a structural shortage for five consecutive years, with limited mining output and increasing demand from renewable energy and electronics sectors [1] - Expectations of loose global monetary policy and declining real yields have reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, attracting institutional investors seeking diversification and inflation hedges [1] Market Trends - Silver has reached its long-term target's minimum threshold, with potential for further increases, ideally targeting $75 to $80, contingent on year-end market performance [3] - A controlled pullback to the $43 to $47 range could provide a technical structure for a subsequent rebound [3] - The U.S. labor market remains resilient, with November non-farm payrolls increasing by 64,000, slightly above expectations, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.6% [3][4] Economic Indicators - The release of U.S. CPI and PCE data will significantly influence Federal Reserve interest rate cut expectations, with a weaker dollar serving as a key driver for gold prices [4] - The November employment report has been a major factor in gold market volatility, with non-farm jobs increasing by 64,000, rebounding from a significant decline in October due to government shutdown impacts [4] Technical Analysis - Current silver market trends indicate a price uptrend, with support around $64.70 and a bullish outlook based on MACD indicators [8] - Suggested trading strategies include positioning for long trades near support levels and short trades near resistance levels, emphasizing cautious trading practices [8]