Is Nutanix the Best Comeback Trade Left in 2025? The Setup Says Yes

Core Viewpoint - Nutanix shares have experienced a significant decline, dropping approximately 40% from September highs and over 20% in the past three weeks, following a disappointing earnings report that included a revenue miss and reduced forward guidance [2][3]. Financial Performance - The recent earnings report revealed a revenue miss and a reduction in forward guidance, which typically triggers selling pressure among investors [3]. - Management indicated that many deals closed late in the quarter, leading to delayed revenue recognition, which contributed to the revenue miss but did not affect free cash flow [4]. - Despite the drop, the quarter was noted as the best-ever for revenue booked, suggesting that the market reaction may have been excessive [4][6]. Technical Analysis - The technical setup for Nutanix shows signs of improvement, with bears unable to push the stock lower since early December, indicating a potential shift in control to bullish investors [5]. - Nutanix's stock is currently at early-2024 price levels after a 40% decline since September, with technical pressure easing as momentum stabilizes from oversold conditions [6]. Market Sentiment - Analysts maintain a broadly bullish outlook, suggesting that the recent sell-off reflects timing issues rather than fundamental weaknesses in the business [6].