美联：今年香港楼市成功“反攻” 明年楼价有望续升约10%至15%

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong property market is expected to rebound successfully in 2025, with both transaction volume and prices rising for the first time in four years, indicating a simultaneous increase in "volume, amount, and price" [1] - The forecast for property prices is an increase of approximately 10% to 15% in the coming year, driven by multiple favorable factors [1] - The expected total number of new property transactions is projected to rise by about 5% to 21,000 units, setting a new record, while the secondary market transactions are anticipated to increase by about 9% to around 50,000 units, reaching a five-year high [1] Group 2 - The property market's recovery is attributed to the government's earlier measures to lower stamp duty on lower-priced properties, which effectively boosted the market for these properties and new sales [1] - The "Centaline Property Price Index" has reported a rise to 134.09 points, reflecting an increase of approximately 4.65% year-to-date and a rebound of about 6.18% from the year's low [2] - Rental prices have also risen in tandem with property prices, increasing by approximately 2.92% over the first 11 months of the year, marking the third consecutive year of growth [2]