降息大消息，黄金等待突破！

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold experienced high volatility, dropping to approximately $4,272 before rebounding to $4,335, ultimately closing at $4,302, remaining relatively stable [1] - Currently, gold is slightly up, hovering around $4,320 during European trading hours [1] Group 2: U.S. Labor Market Data - The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in November, the highest level recorded since October 2021 [3] - The total number of unemployed individuals reached approximately 7.83 million, significantly higher than the 7.12 million reported in the same month last year [5] - In November, the non-farm sector added 64,000 jobs, while October saw a substantial decrease of 105,000 jobs [5] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations - Following the labor data release, traders increased bets on the Federal Reserve potentially lowering interest rates twice in 2026, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in January rising to 26.6% from 22% [6] - The labor data is described as "incomplete" due to a 43-day government shutdown, affecting the collection of household data [5] Group 4: U.S. Stock Market Performance - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones and S&P 500 declining by 0.62% and 0.24% respectively, while the Nasdaq rose by 0.23% [2] - There are contrasting views on the stock market, with some analysts believing there is a significant bubble, while others argue that valuations are reasonable given the strong growth driven by AI [10] Group 5: Geopolitical Developments - The U.S. military conducted strikes against three vessels suspected of drug trafficking, resulting in eight fatalities, part of a broader operation that has reportedly killed at least 95 individuals [11] - President Trump announced a complete blockade of all sanctioned oil tankers entering or leaving Venezuela, labeling the current Venezuelan government as a "foreign terrorist organization" [11]