Core Viewpoint - The company is initiating coverage on Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing with a "Buy" rating and a target price of 26.00 yuan, based on a 20x PE valuation for 2026, driven by "technological barriers + policy dividends" for growth [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing has undergone a significant asset restructuring, becoming the core listed platform of the Aerospace Seventh Academy by acquiring 100% stakes in Aerospace Energy and Aerospace Molding [1] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 58.60 billion yuan and 77.81 billion yuan in 2023 and 2024, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 20.10% and 32.78% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 4.23 billion yuan and 7.92 billion yuan for 2023 and 2024, with year-on-year increases of 61.36% and 87.02% [1] Group 2: Automotive Components Business - Aerospace Molding, established in 2000, focuses on the development and production of automotive interior and exterior parts, smart cockpit components, and lightweight engine parts [2] - The company provided components for 10.95 million vehicles in 2023, accounting for 42% of the total passenger car sales in China [2] - The new energy vehicle segment is expected to contribute 72% of new products in 2024, surpassing industry penetration rates, with successful entries into the supply chains of new car manufacturers like NIO and AITO [2] - Revenue for the automotive components business is projected to grow at a CAGR of 20.96% from 2025 to 2027 [2] Group 3: Oil and Gas Equipment Business - Aerospace Energy, founded in 2013, specializes in the research and manufacturing of perforating tools and high-end completion equipment for the oil and gas sector [3] - The company holds over 60% market share in unconventional oil and gas extraction and approximately 35% in conventional oil and gas extraction as of 2021 [3] - The business is expected to benefit from increasing domestic oil and gas production and the development of deep-sea and deep-earth resources, with a projected revenue CAGR of 17.94% from 2025 to 2027 [3] Group 4: Market Perspective - The market underestimates the company's long-term growth potential, particularly in the automotive components sector, which benefits from the electrification, connectivity, and intelligence transformation of downstream customers [4] - The oil and gas equipment business is expected to gain from policy support for deep-sea and deep-earth technologies, leading to increased demand for perforating tools and completion equipment [4] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 9.48 billion yuan, 11.02 billion yuan, and 12.76 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027 [5] - Comparable companies in the automotive and oil and gas sectors have an average PE of 30x for 2026, while Aerospace Intelligent Manufacturing is assigned a target PE of 20x, leading to a target price of 26.00 yuan [5]
航天智造(300446):双轮驱动打造航天七院优质上市平台