广发证券:予聚水潭“买入”评级 合理价值42.09港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-12-18 02:03

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that 聚水潭 (Jushuitan) is positioned as a leading collaborative platform in the e-commerce SaaS ERP sector, providing cloud-based ERP solutions to address pain points faced by e-commerce merchants in multi-platform operations [1] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.14 billion, 1.39 billion, and 1.66 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 70 million, 350 million, and 520 million yuan for the same years [1] - The report assigns a reasonable valuation multiple of 12x PS for 2026, resulting in a target price of 42.09 HKD per share, with a "Buy" rating [1] Group 2 - The e-commerce SaaS ERP market is characterized as small yet beautiful, with the ERP system effectively integrating core operational processes within the e-commerce industry, addressing challenges such as cross-platform store management and inventory management [2] - The market for e-commerce SaaS ERP is expected to maintain a high growth rate as it expands its business scenarios and integrates more collaborative functions [2] Group 3 - 聚水潭 holds a solid leading position in the e-commerce SaaS ERP industry, with a market share of 24.4% in 2024, significantly ahead of competitors [3] - The company's financial metrics are improving, with a LTV/CAC ratio reaching 9.3 in 2024, indicating a strong sales and product system [3] - The net customer revenue retention rate for 2024 is 115%, showcasing the company's effectiveness in customer retention and increasing customer spending [3] Group 4 - The company is actively expanding internationally, having established a subsidiary in Thailand and plans to explore opportunities in Southeast Asia, Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East [4] - Leveraging its customer resources accumulated in the e-commerce SaaS ERP field, the company aims to enhance its value-added software business, potentially opening new growth avenues [4]