12月18日【油价大跌】原油反弹跌幅持续扩大，下调扩至150元/吨

Core Viewpoint - The domestic refined oil price is expected to decrease by 150 yuan/ton, marking the 12th price reduction of the year, with a significant impact on consumer prices [1][3]. Group 1: Price Adjustments - The current pricing cycle has completed 80% of its 10-working-day adjustment period, with only 4 days remaining until the final price adjustment window of 2025 [1]. - The anticipated reduction of 150 yuan/ton translates to a decrease of approximately 0.11-0.13 yuan per liter for gasoline and diesel [1]. - If the reduction is implemented, the national average price for 92-octane gasoline could drop to around 6.7 yuan/liter, with some regions potentially seeing prices near 6.5 yuan/liter, the lowest in recent years [3]. Group 2: International Oil Prices - Despite a recent rebound in international oil prices, the average prices for WTI and Brent crude oil have declined, contributing to the domestic price drop [1]. - As of December 17, WTI crude oil was priced at $55.94 per barrel, and Brent crude at $59.68 per barrel, with respective increases of 1.21% and 1.29% [1]. - The average WTI price for the current cycle is $57.33 per barrel, while Brent's average is $61.03 per barrel, both lower than previous averages, leading to an expanded domestic price reduction [1]. Group 3: Regional Price Variations - As of December 18, the national average prices for 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-diesel are 6.83 yuan/liter, 7.29 yuan/liter, and 6.45 yuan/liter, respectively [3]. - Regional price variations show that in areas like Xinjiang, the price for 92-octane gasoline could approach 6.5 yuan/liter, indicating significant regional disparities [3]. Group 4: Yearly Overview - The overall price reduction for the year is projected to exceed 0.7 yuan/liter, making it the largest annual decline in recent years [3]. - This final adjustment represents the last opportunity for consumers to benefit from lower prices in 2025, encouraging strategic refueling decisions [3].