iCapital：10年期美国国债收益率可能在2026年下半年升至4.5%

Core Viewpoint - iCapital forecasts that the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury will trade within the range of 4.0%-4.5% by 2026, potentially reaching the upper limit in the second half of the year [1] Group 1 - The report indicates that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is expected to fluctuate within the stated range at least until the beginning of 2026 [1] - A worsening deficit outlook could lead to yields rising to 4.5% [1] - This increase in yields may exert pressure on risk assets and capital market activities [1]