Group 1: Gold Market - Gold prices continued to rise overnight, reaching a peak of $4,348.70 before closing around $4,338, marking an increase of nearly 1% [1] - Currently, gold is fluctuating around $4,326 during the European trading session [1] Group 2: U.S. Stock Market - U.S. stock indices collectively declined overnight, with the Dow Jones falling by 0.47%, the Nasdaq dropping by 418.14 points (1.81%), and the S&P 500 decreasing by 1.16% [2] Group 3: Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Governor Waller, a leading candidate for the next Fed chair, advocated for a moderate pace of interest rate cuts, citing concerns over a weak job market and indicating that there is still room for rate reductions [5] - Waller noted that inflation remains above target levels but is expected to decrease in the coming months, with a potential economic improvement by 2026 [5] - The recent Fed meeting saw the first dissenting votes since 2019, highlighting significant internal divisions within the committee regarding future rate cuts [5] Group 4: Inflation and Economic Indicators - Investors are focusing on President Trump's upcoming speech and the delayed release of the U.S. November CPI data, with expectations of a slight increase in both overall and core CPI [9] - The overall CPI is projected to rise from 3.0% to 3.1%, while core CPI is expected to stabilize at 3% [9] - Service prices, a major driver of inflation, have increased by 3.5% year-over-year, but this is the smallest increase since the pandemic began, suggesting a potential slowdown in inflation [9] Group 5: Market Sentiment and Risks - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a significant correction, particularly in the tech-heavy Nasdaq, which has seen a decline since reaching a historical high at the end of October [11] - Concerns about high valuations and the potential AI bubble are prevalent, with uncertainty surrounding the realization of AI's commercial applications [11] - Despite a weakening job market, there are no clear signs of an impending recession, and expectations of monetary easing may support the stock market [11] Group 6: International Relations - U.S. and Russian officials are expected to meet in Miami, with discussions focusing on security agreements related to Ukraine [12] - The U.S. has threatened retaliatory measures against the EU for perceived discriminatory practices against American service providers, which could escalate trade tensions [14]
美国又要动手,黄金等待时机!