美国上周首申人数回落至22.4万人，扭转此前激增趋势

Group 1 - The overall U.S. labor market remains in a "moderate fluctuation" range despite seasonal disruptions during the holiday period, with initial jobless claims decreasing to 224,000, down from 237,000 the previous week, and below economists' expectations of 225,000 [1] - The four-week moving average of initial claims rose slightly to 217,500, indicating ongoing moderate fluctuations in the labor market [1] - Continuing claims for unemployment benefits increased to 1.897 million, better than the market expectation of 1.93 million, with a four-week average of 1.902 million [4] Group 2 - Recent weeks have seen significant volatility in jobless claims, reflecting challenges in data adjustments around the Thanksgiving holiday, but there are no clear signs of acute employment pressure in any region [7] - A survey conducted by the Richmond Fed and Atlanta Fed, involving 548 CFOs, indicated that tariffs are a major concern affecting hiring plans, as companies are scaling back expansion due to unexpected impacts from comprehensive tariff measures introduced by President Trump [8] - The November unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, the highest level since September 2021, influenced by technical factors related to a prolonged government shutdown that hindered data collection [8] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve recently cut interest rates but signaled a pause in further cuts while awaiting clearer signals regarding the labor market and inflation trends [9] - Concerns were raised by Fed Chair Powell that the actual state of the labor market may be weaker than indicated, with potential downward revisions of recent employment data by up to 60,000 jobs [9] - Notable companies such as UPS, General Motors, Amazon, and Verizon have announced layoffs, which typically take months to reflect in government statistics [9]