Broadcom Stock Has Fallen 20%. What Next?

Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) stock has experienced a significant decline of 21.1%, dropping from $413 to $326 in less than a month, primarily due to investor disappointment regarding management's outlook for gross margins, which are expected to compress by approximately 100 basis points in Q1 fiscal 2026 [1] - The decline is attributed to a shift in revenue mix towards lower-margin AI hardware, which is diluting the contributions from Broadcom's higher-margin software businesses [1] Historical Performance - Historically, AVGO stock has shown a median return of 119% in the 12 months following sharp declines, with a median peak return of 153% [3][9] - A sharp dip is defined as a stock drop of 30% or more within a period of less than 30 days, and AVGO has experienced two such instances since January 1, 2010 [5][6] Financial Quality Assessment - To assess the risk of a dip indicating a deteriorating business environment, factors such as revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and balance sheet strength are evaluated, confirming that Broadcom meets basic financial quality standards [6] Investment Strategy - Buying the dip can be an effective strategy for quality stocks like AVGO, which have historically demonstrated the ability to recover from declines [3] - A diversified portfolio approach is recommended to enhance gains and mitigate risks associated with individual stocks [7][8]