AVGO Stock Drops 20% From 52-Week High: Should You Buy on the Dip?

Core Viewpoint - Broadcom's shares have declined significantly due to soft gross margin guidance for fiscal 2026, primarily influenced by a higher AI revenue mix and increased tax rates, raising questions about potential buying opportunities [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Broadcom's shares closed at $326.02, down 19.7% from a 52-week high of $414.61 [1] - AI revenues surged 74% year-over-year in Q4 fiscal 2025, reaching $6.5 billion, driven by a $21 billion order from Alphabet [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $9.88 per share, indicating 44.9% growth from fiscal 2025 [12] - The consensus for fiscal 2026 revenues is $92.51 billion, suggesting 44.8% growth from fiscal 2025 [12] Group 2: AI Revenue Growth - Broadcom is experiencing strong demand for XPUs, essential for training Generative AI models, with AI revenues increasing 65% to $20 billion in fiscal 2025 [2] - The current order backlog for AI switches exceeds $10 billion, with the Tomahawk 6 switch gaining traction [2] - Broadcom expects first-quarter fiscal 2026 AI revenues to double year-over-year to $8.2 billion [3] Group 3: Product Portfolio and Partnerships - Broadcom's consolidated backlog reached $162 billion in fiscal 2025, including $73 billion in AI backlog to be delivered over the next 18 months [8] - The company launched the industry's first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions and the third-generation Co-Packaged Optics Ethernet switch, Tomahawk 6 [9][10] - Broadcom has a diverse partner base, including major companies like OpenAI, Walmart, and Meta Platforms, which supports its growth strategy [11] Group 4: Market Position and Valuation - Broadcom's shares have appreciated 49.3% over the past year, outperforming the broader technology sector [4] - The stock is currently trading at a premium with a forward price/sales ratio of 17.26X, higher than the sector average of 6.37X [14] - Despite the premium valuation, the company's expanding AI portfolio and strong partner base suggest solid growth potential, justifying the investment [17]