贺博生：12.18黄金晚间CPI数据如何布局，原油美盘最新多空操作建议

Market Overview - The market is characterized by fluctuations, and the ability to judge the balance of market trends is crucial for success [1] - The importance of controlling greed and understanding one's own limitations is emphasized [1] Gold Market Analysis - As of December 18, gold is trading in a narrow range around $4325-$4343, with some profit-taking by bulls and a slight rebound in the US dollar index putting pressure on gold [2] - The upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for November is a key indicator that could influence Federal Reserve monetary policy, with expectations of a 3.0% year-on-year increase [2] - Depending on the CPI results, gold could either break upwards or face downward pressure, making the report a significant market mover [2] Technical Analysis of Gold - On the daily chart, gold remains in a strong upward trend, with a potential breakout above $4355 leading to targets around $4385 [3] - However, if the support levels are broken, a decline towards last week's low of $4260 is possible [3] - The short-term strategy suggests focusing on buying on dips while being cautious of resistance around $4350-$4370 and support around $4300-$4280 [3] Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices are currently around $56.70 per barrel, showing a strong rebound but still within a range of oversold conditions [4] - The rebound is primarily driven by geopolitical tensions rather than fundamental supply-demand improvements, with high global inventories and supply surplus expectations persisting [4] - Without clear signals of production cuts or demand recovery, oil prices may continue to fluctuate within a low range [4] Technical Analysis of Oil - The daily chart indicates a bearish trend with a recent break below the $56 support level, suggesting a continued downward trajectory [5] - Short-term movements show a potential for a limited rebound, with resistance levels identified at $57.5-$58.5 and support at $55.0-$54.0 [5]