欧盟拟动用被冻结的俄资产，普京以最令人忌惮的“武器”回击欧洲

Core Viewpoint - The European Union is facing challenges in utilizing frozen Russian assets to support Ukraine, with concerns about potential legal and financial repercussions from Russia, as President Putin deploys a team of lawyers to counteract these efforts [1][4]. Group 1: EU's Plan and Challenges - EU leaders are set to meet in Brussels to discuss the plan to use frozen Russian assets to aid Ukraine, with increasing pressure on Belgium to abandon its opposition [1]. - The European Central Bank holds most of the frozen funds, and Belgium has been resistant due to fears of severe financial and legal retaliation from Moscow [1]. - Russia has filed a lawsuit against the European Central Bank, claiming illegal actions that prevent access to its funds and securities, seeking compensation equivalent to the value of the frozen assets and lost investment returns [1]. Group 2: Financial Needs of Ukraine - EU estimates indicate that Ukrainian President Zelensky will need €135 billion over the next two years, with funding gaps expected to emerge starting in April [6]. - The European Commission proposed using approximately €210 billion of frozen Russian central bank assets to help fill this gap, with an initial plan to lend €90 billion to Ukraine [6]. - Ukraine will only begin repaying these "compensation loans" after receiving reparations from Moscow for the damages caused by the invasion [6]. Group 3: Belgium's Position and EU Dynamics - Belgian Prime Minister Bart De Wever remains a focal point of opposition, insisting that any guarantees must be unlimited and should also involve assets frozen in other countries [6]. - While other EU countries could theoretically override Belgium's stance, this would be a last resort and is currently deemed unlikely [6]. - Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni may provide crucial political cover for Belgium, indicating the complexity of the decision-making process within the EU [8]. Group 4: Broader Geopolitical Context - The backdrop of these discussions includes U.S. efforts to negotiate a peace agreement to end the war, with reports of upcoming meetings between U.S. and Russian officials [9][11]. - Ukraine perceives the frozen assets as a key bargaining chip in negotiations with Russia, while EU officials deny that U.S. pressure is influencing their plans to utilize these funds [11]. - There is a sense of urgency among diplomats to find a solution to maintain funding flow for Ukraine, with expectations that some form of agreement will be reached during the upcoming meetings [11].