【机构策略】2026年A股跨年配置行情有望提前启动
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-19 01:20

Group 1 - A-shares are experiencing a mixed performance with major indices showing divergence, and the Shanghai Composite Index is expected to maintain a range-bound movement supported by key levels [1] - The market is anticipated to improve liquidity and trading activity due to institutional reallocation and capital inflow as the year-end approaches, potentially initiating a spring rally [1] - The focus in the short term is on the selection of the new Federal Reserve chair and the implementation of domestic monetary and fiscal policies, with geopolitical risks easing [1] Group 2 - The market is influenced by hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, which dampens expectations for interest rate cuts, leading to adjustments in U.S. stock indices [2] - The technology sector, which had previously rebounded, is currently underperforming, and there is a recommendation to control positions in the short term [2] - In the medium to long term, factors such as improved corporate performance, increased household savings entering the market, and global liquidity easing are expected to support a "slow bull" market for A-shares in 2026 [2]