Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry in China is experiencing rapid cost reduction and installation growth, particularly in onshore wind, while offshore wind is expected to recover significantly by 2025 due to major project initiations [1][2]. Onshore Wind Power - Since 2021, China's onshore wind power has entered a parity era, achieving rapid cost reductions through large-scale and technological advancements, leading to installations exceeding expectations [2]. - Intense competition in the main equipment segment has compressed profit margins, resulting in a situation where industry growth does not translate into increased profits [2]. - Price recovery in the onshore wind supply chain is expected in the second half of 2024, with improved profitability anticipated in 2025 as shipment volumes increase [2]. - The overseas market for onshore wind is witnessing explosive growth in orders, driven by competitive pricing, service, and localization advantages of Chinese manufacturers [2][3]. Offshore Wind Power - The offshore wind sector has faced installation challenges from 2022 to 2024 due to slow approval processes, but significant project initiations in regions like Jiangsu and Guangdong are expected to enhance industry conditions in 2025 [2][4]. - For 2026, domestic offshore wind installations are projected to rise to a range of 11-15 GW, representing a year-on-year increase of over 40% [4]. - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" period is expected to see a total of 70-100 GW of new offshore wind installations nationwide, with record-high bidding anticipated [4]. Investment Recommendations - The global wind power industry is entering a new growth phase, with high certainty of performance increases in the sector [5]. - Key companies to watch in the main equipment segment include Goldwind Technology, Yunda Co., and SANY Renewable Energy, while component manufacturers like Delijia and Jinlei Co. are also highlighted [5]. - In the offshore wind sector, companies such as Dajin Heavy Industry, Haili Wind Power, and Oriental Cable are recommended for investment focus [5].
国信证券:风电行业国内外有望迎来景气共振 需求与格局变化催生新机遇