Group 1 - The largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, maintained its holdings at 1052.54 tons as of December 18 [2] - On December 18, spot gold experienced fluctuations, reaching a high of $4374.37 per ounce before closing at $4332.61, down $5.48 or 0.13% [2] - Despite weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data, market skepticism about data reliability and strong employment figures prevented gold from sustaining its upward momentum [2] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the recent inflation data, despite its limitations, indicates a potential easing of inflationary pressures, which could influence Federal Reserve actions [3] - Following the inflation report, the market slightly increased the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in January 2026 from 26.6% to 28.8% [3] - Initial jobless claims fell to 224,000, below the revised previous value of 237,000 and market expectations of 225,000, highlighting a contrast between strong employment data and weak inflation data [3] Group 3 - Technically, gold appears to be in a consolidation phase with mixed signals from technical indicators [4] - The daily chart shows the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) above the 100-day SMA, both trending upwards, indicating a bullish pattern [4] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4300, with further potential declines towards $4285, $4250, and $4200 if the price breaks below [4]
黄金ETF持仓量报告解读（2025-12-19）美数据存疑 黄金守4300关口
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-19 03:38