Group 1 - The traditional optical fiber and cable market is showing clear signs of recovery after a four-year cyclical bottoming period, with the overseas specialty fiber market entering a high-growth phase driven by breakthroughs in AI computing power and the explosion of application scenarios [1] - The ordinary optical cable market has confirmed its bottom, with significant signs of supply-demand rebalancing and recovery. In the first half of 2025, China's optical cable production is expected to reach 12,532.3 million core kilometers, showing a narrowed decline compared to previous periods, indicating a stabilization trend [1] - Major optical fiber manufacturers have reported a price increase of approximately 15% for ordinary optical cables, with positive signals in volume and price indicators, suggesting that operator procurement prices are likely to stabilize and recover, gradually restoring industry profitability [1] Group 2 - The demand for specialty fibers is experiencing explosive growth, driven by the requirements of AI computing clusters for lower latency, higher bandwidth, and greater density in data transmission [2] - Hollow-core fibers, with advantages in low latency and high bandwidth potential, are expected to see increased penetration as mass production technology breakthroughs accelerate [2] - Domestic leaders in hollow-core and multi-core fiber technologies have reached internationally advanced levels and are poised to seize new market opportunities in response to rapid demand [2] Group 3 - The optical fiber and cable sector is currently at a low valuation, attracting increased attention due to the clear leadership structure and stable revenue and profitability of leading companies [3] - The recovery trend in the ordinary optical cable business provides a solid safety margin and profit recovery elasticity, while the specialty fiber business is expected to experience explosive growth under the AI computing wave, opening up long-term growth potential [3] - Companies such as Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable Joint Stock Limited Company (601869), Hengtong Optic-electric (600487), and Zhongtian Technology (600522) are recommended for investment [3]
国盛证券:技术升级与场景拓展双重驱动 光缆行业需求回暖、价格企稳