Core Viewpoint - The scarcity of three-year large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) is a result of banks' reluctance to issue high-interest long-term deposits due to declining net interest margins and competitive pressures in the interest rate environment [3][9]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Banks are currently facing a historical low net interest margin of 1.42%, making it unprofitable to issue three-year large-denomination CDs at rates around 2.5% [3]. - Major banks have collectively suspended five-year products and are limiting the issuance of three-year CDs to avoid being "trapped" by future interest rate declines [3]. - The demand for large-denomination CDs has surged, with rates of 2.2% being quickly exhausted, creating a cycle of increased competition among savers [3][9]. Group 2: Alternative Investment Options - Savings Bonds: State-backed savings bonds offer higher interest rates than large-denomination CDs, with a three-year rate of 2.35%, potentially yielding an additional 900-1800 yuan over three years for a 200,000 yuan investment [4]. - Low-Risk Bank Wealth Management: R1 and R2 level low-risk products can yield annualized returns of 2.8%-3.2%, significantly higher than three-year fixed deposits, with a focus on government and financial bonds [5]. - Pure Bond Funds: These funds, which invest solely in bonds, have shown an average increase of over 3.5% in the past year, with some products yielding up to 4%, providing a potential annual return of 7,000-8,000 yuan on a 200,000 yuan investment [6]. - Bank Specialty Deposits: Some banks offer specialty deposits with lower entry thresholds and competitive rates of 2.1%-2.3%, comparable to large-denomination CDs, without the need for competitive purchasing [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategy Recommendations - It is advised to avoid "pseudo-deposits" from non-bank institutions that lack deposit insurance, as they carry significant principal risk [8]. - Diversification is recommended, with no more than 500,000 yuan deposited in a single bank, and spreading investments across 2-3 institutions for wealth management and funds [8]. - Caution is advised regarding products promising returns exceeding 4%, as they may carry hidden risks [8].
三年大额存单抢不到?这4个“替代品”更香、更稳、更灵活
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-12-19 03:47